Day-to-Day Murders in the nation Fall Thirty-Seven Percent In Claudia Sheinbaum, As per Government Data

The mean number of daily murders per month in the country has decreased by thirty-seven percent since Head of State Claudia Sheinbaum assumed power, as stated by fresh official figures. However, security analysts have cautioned that murder numbers could fail to point to better national stability.

Marked Reduction in Daily Averages

There was an average of nearly 55 homicides a day in November as opposed to nearly 87 when the President began the presidential office in the previous September. This data was provided by the director of the country’s national public security agency, Marcela Figueroa Franco, during the president’s regular news conference on Tuesday.

“The outcome in homicides that we have seen during these months is remarkably notable,” Claudia Sheinbaum remarked, explaining that the previous month the smallest amount of murders were recorded for any single November in the past decade.

Historical Background and Official Strategy

Violent drug cartel internal conflicts, coupled with the government’s highly militarised campaigns to take on the trafficking organizations, have led to Mexico’s homicide rate soar in recent times. The rate peaked at a record high of 36,773 homicides in 2020, as reported by the nation's official data agency.

That meant Mexico a murder rate over 4x higher than that of the United States. Since then, homicides have been on the decrease, falling to 33,550 in the last calendar year. Claudia Sheinbaum has credited her public safety approach for an apparently steeper decline in homicides in the current year.

At a media briefing in August, the Mexican leader stated: “There is a strategy, we have tracking of the strategy, and we have specific monitoring locality by locality in certain cases. The approach works. And we have to continue working at it each day.”

The central pillars of Sheinbaum’s safety plan encompass:

• Reinforcing Mexico’s federal guard.
• Enhancing information gathering and investigative work.
• Enhanced cooperation between government agencies.

Expert Skepticism and Data Concerns

However, public safety analysts cautioned that focusing solely on homicide data to paint a picture of pacification was problematic. This is especially true given the increase in other crimes such as people going missing.

“That would be positive news if this were a drop, but I think we shouldn't just concentrate on the homicide numbers and think: ‘Alright, good,’” said Cecilia Farfán-Méndez, an specialist on Mexican organised crime. “I would be cautiously optimistic.”

Per the public policy analysis organization Mexico Evalúa, homicides overall dropped by more than 20% in the initial 10 months of this year versus the identical period the previous year. However, disappearances have risen by 15% and in certain states have surged by as much as 200%.

“Data on homicides is no longer useful for gauging the reality of violence,” argued Armando Vargas, a safety analyst at Mexico Evalúa. “First, we have law enforcement and prosecutors who lack the ability or the will to properly identify and categorize bodies. Second, organized [criminals] … have the capability to hide violent acts through disappearances.”

Vargas pointed out that using monthly averages of daily homicides was also concerning because it might obscure days when there were particularly spiking numbers of murders.

“Using the daily mean makes surges of violence less visible,” he said.

Arrests and Confiscations as Metrics of Progress

Where the administration can cite the effectiveness of its safety strategy is on arrests and seizures. Almost 40,000 individuals were arrested between October 2024 and November 2025 for serious crimes, per government figures. Over 20,000 guns were taken and 311 tons of drugs confiscated.

“The former US president cannot claim President Sheinbaum of doing nothing, because in reality she is doing a lot with these many thousands of detentions, many thousands of seizures, and all the operational degrading of organised crime. It’s very politically advantageous,” stated Vargas.

Ongoing Violence and Public Frustration

However despite these actions, Mexico continues to be plagued by extreme violence, with multiple regions in the grip of cartel-related bloodshed. Last month there was a notable killing of a popular mayor in the region of Michoacan, one of 10 mayors murdered in the past 12 months.

Weeks after, thousands of young people demonstrated in Mexico City and throughout the country to voice their outrage at graft and drug violence.

“The administration frames [data] in a manner to construct a picture of security. Politically it’s highly successful, socially it’s extremely questionable,” the analyst said.